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1.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3964, 2024 May 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38729968

RESUMO

Music is a universal yet diverse cultural trait transmitted between generations. The extent to which global musical diversity traces cultural and demographic history, however, is unresolved. Using a global musical dataset of 5242 songs from 719 societies, we identify five axes of musical diversity and show that music contains geographical and historical structures analogous to linguistic and genetic diversity. After creating a matched dataset of musical, genetic, and linguistic data spanning 121 societies containing 981 songs, 1296 individual genetic profiles, and 121 languages, we show that global musical similarities are only weakly and inconsistently related to linguistic or genetic histories, with some regional exceptions such as within Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Our results suggest that global musical traditions are largely distinct from some non-musical aspects of human history.


Assuntos
Idioma , Linguística , Música , Humanos , Variação Genética , Sudeste Asiático , Diversidade Cultural , África Subsaariana
2.
Adv Ther ; 2024 May 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38743242

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Over the course of 2023, numerous key clinical trials with valuable contributions to clinical cardiology were published or presented at major international conferences. This review seeks to summarise these trials and reflect on their clinical context. METHODS: The authors collated and reviewed clinical trials presented at major cardiology conferences during 2023 including the American College of Cardiology (ACC), European Association for Percutaneous Cardiovascular Interventions (EuroPCR), European Society of Cardiology (ESC), Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics (TCT), American Heart Association (AHA), European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA), Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI), TVT-The Heart Summit (TVT) and Cardiovascular Research Technologies (CRT). Trials with a broad relevance to the cardiology community and those with potential to change current practice were included. RESULTS: A total of 80 key cardiology clinical trials were identified for inclusion. Key trials in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and antiplatelet management such as HOST-IDEA, T-PASS and STOP-DAPT3 were included in addition to several pivotal interventional trials such as ORBITA 2, MULTISTARS-AMI, ILUMIEN-IV, OCTIVUS and OCTOBER. Additionally, several trials evaluated new stent design and technology such as BIOSTEMI, PARTHENOPE and TRANSFORM. Structural intervention trials included long-term data from PARTNER 3, new data on the durability of transcatheter aortic valve intervention (TAVI), in addition to major new trials regarding transcatheter tricuspid valve intervention from TRISCEND II. Heart failure (HF) and prevention covered several key studies including DAPA-MI, STEP-HF, ADVOR, DICTATE HF and CAMEO-DAPA. In cardiac devices and electrophysiology, several trial exploring novel ablation strategies in atrial fibrillation (AF) such as PULSED AF and ADVENT were presented with further data evaluating the efficacy of anticoagulation in subclinical AF in NOAH-AFNET 6, FRAIL AF and AZALEA-TIMI 71. CONCLUSION: This article presents a summary of key clinical cardiology trials published and presented during the past year and should be of interest to both practising clinicians and researchers.

3.
Nat Hum Behav ; 2024 Mar 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38438653

RESUMO

Music is present in every known society but varies from place to place. What, if anything, is universal to music cognition? We measured a signature of mental representations of rhythm in 39 participant groups in 15 countries, spanning urban societies and Indigenous populations. Listeners reproduced random 'seed' rhythms; their reproductions were fed back as the stimulus (as in the game of 'telephone'), such that their biases (the prior) could be estimated from the distribution of reproductions. Every tested group showed a sparse prior with peaks at integer-ratio rhythms. However, the importance of different integer ratios varied across groups, often reflecting local musical practices. Our results suggest a common feature of music cognition: discrete rhythm 'categories' at small-integer ratios. These discrete representations plausibly stabilize musical systems in the face of cultural transmission but interact with culture-specific traditions to yield the diversity that is evident when mental representations are probed across many cultures.

5.
J Cardiopulm Rehabil Prev ; 44(3): 162-167, 2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38300271

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to show that patients in cardiac rehabilitation (CR) with lower socioeconomic status (SES) have worse clinical profiles and higher rates of psychiatric difficulties and they have lower cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) improvements from CR than their counterparts with higher SES. Improvement in CRF during CR predicts better long-term health outcomes. Research suggests that higher anxiety impairs CRF in structured exercise regimes and is overrepresented among patients with lower SES. However, no study has determined whether this relationship holds true in CR. METHODS: This study is a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial to improve CR attendance among patients with lower SES. Anxiety (ASEBA ASR; Achenbach System of Empirically Based Assessment, Adult Self Report) and CRF measures (metabolic equivalent tasks [METs peak ]) were collected prior to CR enrollment and 4 mo later. Regression was used to examine the association of anxiety with CRF at 4 mo while controlling for other demographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: Eight-eight participants were included in the analyses, 31% of whom had clinically significant levels of anxiety ( T ≥ 63). Higher anxiety significantly predicted lower exit CRF when controlling for baseline CRF, age, sex, qualifying diagnosis, and number of CR sessions attended ( ß =-.05, P = .04). Patients with clinically significant levels of anxiety could be expected to lose >0.65 METs peak in improvement. CONCLUSIONS: The results from this study suggest that anxiety, which is overrepresented in populations with lower SES, is associated with less CRF improvement across the duration of CR. The effect size was clinically meaningful and calls for future research on addressing psychological factor in CR.


Assuntos
Ansiedade , Reabilitação Cardíaca , Aptidão Cardiorrespiratória , Classe Social , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Aptidão Cardiorrespiratória/fisiologia , Reabilitação Cardíaca/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso
6.
Heart ; 2024 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38302263

RESUMO

Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a multidisciplinary supervised programme which typically consists of tailored exercise and education on lifestyle management and risk factor modification in cardiac patients. Participation in CR reduces morbidity and mortality, while improving quality of life following major cardiovascular events. Despite the benefits of CR, it is underutilised, generally in the 20%-30% range for eligible patients. Participation and adherence rates are particularly suboptimal in vulnerable populations, such as those of lower socioeconomic status and women. Interventions such as automated referral to CR or hybrid/virtual programmes can increase enrolment to CR. This review summarises the components of CR and provides recommendations for providers regarding participation and adherence. To better engage a larger proportion of CR-eligible patients, CR programmes may need to expand or adjust ways to deliver secondary prevention.

7.
Cardiol Rev ; 2024 Jan 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38189526

RESUMO

Following the publication of several landmark clinical trials such as dapagliflozin in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction, dapagliflozin evaluation to improve the lives of patients with preserved ejection fraction heart failure, and empagliflozin outcome trial in patients with chronic heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, sodium-glucose cotransport 2 inhibitors have been rapidly incorporated as a guideline-directed therapy in the treatment of heart failure. Moreover, their benefits appear to extend across the spectrum of left ventricular dysfunction which in some respects, can be seen as the holy grail of heart failure pharmacotherapy. Despite its plethora of proven cardioprotective benefits, the mechanisms by which it exerts these effects remain poorly understood, however, it is clear that these extend beyond that of promotion of glycosuria and natriuresis. Several hypotheses have emerged over the years including modification of cardiovascular risk profile via weight reduction, improved glucose homeostasis, blood pressure control, and natriuretic effect; however, these mechanisms do not fully explain the potent effects of the drug demonstrated in large-scale randomized trials. Other mechanisms may be at play, specifically the down-regulation of inflammatory pathways, improved myocardial sodium homeostasis, modulation of profibrotic pathways, and activation of nutrient deprivation signaling pathways promoting autophagic flux. This review seeks to summarize the cardioprotective benefits demonstrated in major clinical trials and provide a succinct review of the current theories of mechanisms of action, based on the most recent evidence derived from both clinical and laboratory data.

8.
J Cardiopulm Rehabil Prev ; 44(1): 26-32, 2024 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37820180

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Patients with lower socioeconomic status (SES) have higher rates of cardiovascular events, yet are less likely to engage in secondary prevention such as cardiac rehabilitation (CR). Given the low number of lower-SES patients entering CR, characterization of this population has been difficult. Our CR program specifically increased recruitment of lower-SES patients, allowing for careful comparison of medical, psychosocial, and behavioral risk factors between lower- and higher-SES patients eligible for secondary prevention. METHODS: Demographic and clinical characteristics were prospectively gathered on consecutive individuals entering phase 2 CR from January 2014 to December 2022. Patients were classified as lower SES if they had Medicaid insurance. Statistical methods included chi-square and nonpaired t tests. A P value of <.01 was used to determine significance. RESULTS: The entire cohort consisted of 3131 individuals. Compared with higher-SES patients, lower-SES individuals (n = 405; 13%) were a decade younger (57.1 ± 10.4 vs 67.2 ± 11.2 yr), 5.8 times more likely to be current smokers (29 vs 5%), 1.7 times more likely to have elevated depressive symptoms, and significantly higher body mass index, waist circumference, and glycated hemoglobin A 1c , with more abnormal lipid profiles (all P s < .001). Despite being a decade younger, lower-SES patients had lower measures of cardiorespiratory fitness and self-reported physical function (both P s < .001). CONCLUSION: Lower-SES patients have a remarkably prominent high-risk cardiovascular disease profile, resulting in a substantially higher risk for a recurrent coronary event than higher-SES patients. Accordingly, efforts must be made to engage this high-risk population in CR. It is incumbent on CR programs to ensure that they are appropriately equipped to intervene on modifiable risk factors such as low cardiorespiratory fitness, obesity, depression, and smoking.


Assuntos
Reabilitação Cardíaca , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/epidemiologia , Classe Social
9.
R Soc Open Sci ; 10(9): 230562, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37680502

RESUMO

Music is an interactive technology associated with religious and communal activities and was suggested to have evolved as a participatory activity supporting social bonding. In post-industrial societies, however, music's communal role was eclipsed by its relatively passive consumption by audiences disconnected from performers. It was suggested that as societies became larger and more differentiated, music became less participatory and more focused on solo singing. Here, we consider the prevalence of group singing and its relationship to social organization through the analysis of two global song corpora: 5776 coded audio recordings from 1024 societies, and 4709 coded ethnographic texts from 60 societies. In both corpora, we find that group singing is more common than solo singing, and that it is more likely in some social contexts (e.g. religious rituals, dance) than in others (e.g. healing, infant care). In contrast, relationships between group singing and social structure (community size or social differentiation) were not consistent within or between corpora. While we cannot exclude the possibility of sampling bias leading to systematic under-sampling of solo singing, our results from two large global corpora of different data types provide support for the interactive nature of music and its complex relationship with sociality.

10.
J Cogn ; 6(1): 47, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37600218

RESUMO

Global music diversity is a popular topic for both scientific and humanities researchers, but often for different reasons. Scientific research typically focuses on the generalities through measurement and statistics, while humanists typically emphasize exceptions using qualitative approaches. But these two approaches need not be mutually exclusive. Using a quantitative approach to identify musical outliers and a qualitative discussion of the most unusual songs, we can combine scientific and humanities approaches to unite knowledge on musical diversity. Objectively defining unusual music is a delicate task, having historically been subject to Eurocentric approaches. Using the Global Jukebox, a dataset containing almost 6,000 songs from over 1,000 societies coded on 37 "Cantometric" variables of musical style, we designate the unusualness of a song as the frequency of its coded variables relative to their regional frequency. Using quantitative metrics to identify outliers in musical diversity, we present a qualitative discussion of some of the most unusual individual songs (from a Panpipe ensemble from Kursk, Russia), and a comparison of unusual repertoires from Malay, Kel Aïr, and Moroccan Berber musical cultures. We also ask whether unusual music is the result of unusual social organisation or isolation from other groups. There is weak evidence that the unusualness of music is predicted by kinship organisation and cultural isolation, but these predictors are heavily outweighed by the finding that unusual songs are best predicted by knowing the society they come from - evidence that quantitatively supports the existence of musical style.

11.
Contemp Clin Trials ; 129: 107174, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37019181

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Participation in phase 2 cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is associated with significant decreases in morbidity and mortality. Unfortunately, attendance at CR is not optimal and certain populations, such as those with lower-socioeconomic status (SES), are less likely to participate. In order to remedy this disparity we have designed a trial to examine the efficacy of early case management and/or financial incentives for increasing CR participation among lower-SES patients. METHODS: We will employ a randomized controlled trial with a sample goal of 209 patients who will be randomized 2:3:3:3 to either a usual care control, to receive a case manager starting in-hospital, to receive financial incentives for completing CR sessions, or to receive both interventions. RESULTS: Treatment conditions will be compared on attendance at CR and end-of-intervention (four months) improvements in cardiorespiratory fitness, executive function, and health-related quality of life. The primary outcome measures for this project will be number of CR sessions completed and the percentage who complete ≥30 sessions. Secondary outcomes will include improvements in health outcomes by condition, as well as the cost-effectiveness of the intervention with a focus on potential reductions in emergency department visits and hospitalizations. We hypothesize that either intervention will perform better than the control and that the combination of interventions will perform better than either alone. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic examination of interventions will allow us to test the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of approaches that have the potential to increase CR participation substantially and significantly improve health outcomes among patients with lower-SES.


Assuntos
Reabilitação Cardíaca , Humanos , Reabilitação Cardíaca/métodos , Qualidade de Vida , Administração de Caso , Motivação , Status Econômico , Classe Social , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
12.
Adv Ther ; 40(6): 2595-2625, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37052800

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Over the course of 2022, numerous key clinical trials with valuable contributions to clinical cardiology were published or presented at major international conferences. This review seeks to summarise these trials and to reflect on their clinical context. METHODS: The authors reviewed clinical trials presented at major cardiology conferences during 2022, including the American College of Cardiology (ACC), European Association for Percutaneous Cardiovascular Interventions (EuroPCR), European Society of Cardiology (ESC), Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics (TCT), American Heart Association (AHA), European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA), Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI), TVT-The Heart Summit (TVT) and Cardiovascular Research Technologies (CRT). Trials with a broad relevance to the cardiology community and those with potential to change current practice were included. RESULTS: A total of 93 key cardiology clinical trials were identified for inclusion. Interventional cardiology data included trials evaluating the use of new generation novel stent technology and new intravascular physiology strategies such as quantitative flow ratio (QFR) to guide revascularisation in stable and unstable coronary artery disease. New trials in acute coronary syndromes and intervention focused on long-term outcomes of optimal medical therapy (OMT), revascularisation in ischaemic dysfunction and left main (LM) intervention. Structural intervention trials included latest data on optimal timing and anticoagulation strategies in transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), in addition to expanding evidence in mitral and tricuspid valve interventions. Heart failure data included trials with sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, iron replacement and novel drugs such as omecamtiv. Prevention trials included new data on proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors and polypill strategies. In electrophysiology, new data regarding optimal timing of ablative therapy for atrial fibrillation (AF) in addition to novel screening strategies were evaluated. CONCLUSION: This article presents a summary of key clinical cardiology trials published and presented during the past year and should be of interest to both practising clinicians and researchers.


Assuntos
Cardiologia , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Pró-Proteína Convertase 9 , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia
13.
J Cardiopulm Rehabil Prev ; 43(6): 433-437, 2023 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36857090

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Executive function (ExF), the ability to do complex cognitive tasks like planning and refraining from impulsive behavior, is associated with compliance with medical recommendations. The present study identified associations between self-reported ExF and demographics of patients with cardiac disease as well as with cardiac rehabilitation (CR) attendance. METHODS: Self-reported ExF impairment was measured using the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function (BRIEF) on 316 individuals hospitalized for CR-qualifying cardiac events. Scores were calculated for a global measure (Global Executive Composite [GEC]) and the two BRIEF indices: Behavioral Regulation Index and Metacognition Index (MCI). Participants were followed up post-discharge to determine CR attendance. Univariate logistic regressions between ExF measures and demographic variables were conducted, as were multiple logistic regressions to identify significant, independent predictors. Analyses were conducted using clinical (T scores ≥ 65) and subclinical (T scores ≥ 60) criteria for significant ExF impairment as outcomes. One-way analyses of variance were performed between ExF impairment and CR attendance. RESULTS: Self-reported ExF deficits were relatively rare; 8.9% had at least subclinical scores on the GEC. Using the subclinical criterion for the MCI, having diabetes mellitus (DM) and being male were significant, independent predictors of MCI impairment. No significant relationship was found between ExF and CR attendance. CONCLUSION: Using the subclinical criterion only, individuals with DM and males were significantly more likely to have MCI impairment. No significant effect of ExF impairment on CR attendance was found, suggesting that self-reported ExF measured in the hospital may not be an appropriate measure for predicting behavioral outcomes.


Assuntos
Reabilitação Cardíaca , Função Executiva , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Função Executiva/fisiologia , Autorrelato , Assistência ao Convalescente , Alta do Paciente
15.
J Cardiopulm Rehabil Prev ; 43(1): 1-7, 2023 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36576423

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) has evolved over time not only to improve cardiorespiratory fitness through exercise but also to promote lifestyle-related behaviors to manage cardiovascular disease risk factors. Given the prevalence of obesity, diabetes mellitus, metabolic syndrome, and heart failure, CR serves as an ideal setting to monitor and, when indicated, intervene to ensure that individuals are optimally treated. PURPOSE: The objective of this report was to review current antihyperglycemic agents and discuss the role for these medications in the care and treatment of individuals participating in CR. CONCLUSION: There is strong evidence that the benefits provided by some antihyperglycemic medications go beyond glycemic control to include general cardiovascular disease risk reduction. Health care professionals in CR should be aware of the cardiovascular benefits of newer antihyperglycemic agents, as well as the treatment approach to patients with type 2 diabetes, obesity, and heart failure.


Assuntos
Reabilitação Cardíaca , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/tratamento farmacológico , Hipoglicemiantes
16.
J Cardiopulm Rehabil Prev ; 43(2): 115-121, 2023 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36137212

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Nonexercise predictions of peak oxygen uptake (V˙ o2peak ) are used clinically, yet current equations were developed from cohorts of apparently healthy individuals and may not be applicable to individuals with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Our purpose was to develop a CVD-specific nonexercise prediction equation for V˙ o2peak . METHODS: Participants were from the Fitness Registry and Importance of Exercise International Database (FRIEND) with a diagnosis of coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG), myocardial infarction (MI), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), or heart failure (HF) who met maximal effort criteria during a cardiopulmonary exercise test (n = 15 997; 83% male; age 63.1 ± 10.4 yr). The cohort was split into development (n = 12 798) and validation groups (n = 3199). The prediction equation was developed using regression analysis and compared with a previous equation developed on a healthy cohort. RESULTS: Age, sex, height, weight, exercise mode, and CVD diagnosis were all significant predictors of V˙ o2peak . The regression equation was:V˙ o2peak (mL · kg -1 · min -1 ) = 16.18 - (0.22 × age [yr]) + (3.63 × sex [male = 1; female = 0]) + (0.14 × height [cm]) - (0.12 × weight [kg]) + (3.62 × mode [treadmill = 1; cycle = 0]) - (2.70 × CABG [yes = 1, no = 0]) - (0.31 × MI [yes = 1, no = 0]) + (0.37 × PCI [yes = 1, no = 0]) - (4.47 × HF [yes = 1, no = 0]). Adjusted R 2 = 0.43; SEE = 4.75 mL · kg -1 · min -1 .Compared with measured V˙ o2peak in the validation group, percent predicted V˙ o2peak was 141% for the healthy cohort equation and 100% for the CVD-specific equation. CONCLUSIONS: The new equation for individuals with CVD had lower error between measured and predicted V˙ o2peak than the healthy cohort equation, suggesting population-specific equations are needed for predicting V˙ o2peak ; however, errors associated with nonexercise prediction equations suggest V˙ o2peak should be directly measured whenever feasible.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Infarto do Miocárdio , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Consumo de Oxigênio , Teste de Esforço , Sistema de Registros , Oxigênio
17.
PLoS One ; 17(11): e0275469, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36322519

RESUMO

Standardized cross-cultural databases of the arts are critical to a balanced scientific understanding of the performing arts, and their role in other domains of human society. This paper introduces the Global Jukebox as a resource for comparative and cross-cultural study of the performing arts and culture. The Global Jukebox adds an extensive and detailed global database of the performing arts that enlarges our understanding of human cultural diversity. Initially prototyped by Alan Lomax in the 1980s, its core is the Cantometrics dataset, encompassing standardized codings on 37 aspects of musical style for 5,776 traditional songs from 1,026 societies. The Cantometrics dataset has been cleaned and checked for reliability and accuracy, and includes a full coding guide with audio training examples (https://theglobaljukebox.org/?songsofearth). Also being released are seven additional datasets coding and describing instrumentation, conversation, popular music, vowel and consonant placement, breath management, social factors, and societies. For the first time, all digitized Global Jukebox data are being made available in open-access, downloadable format (https://github.com/theglobaljukebox), linked with streaming audio recordings (theglobaljukebox.org) to the maximum extent allowed while respecting copyright and the wishes of culture-bearers. The data are cross-indexed with the Database of Peoples, Languages, and Cultures (D-PLACE) to allow researchers to test hypotheses about worldwide coevolution of aesthetic patterns and traditions. As an example, we analyze the global relationship between song style and societal complexity, showing that they are robustly related, in contrast to previous critiques claiming that these proposed relationships were an artifact of autocorrelation (though causal mechanisms remain unresolved).


Assuntos
Música , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Comparação Transcultural , Idioma , Bases de Dados Factuais , Cultura
18.
Am Heart J Plus ; 172022 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35937642

RESUMO

Current smoking is the strongest predictor of future morbidity and mortality in those with cardiovascular disease, yet clinically, smoking status is usually ascertained through self-report. We objectively measured smoking status, using exhaled carbon monoxide (CO), for 1122 consecutive patients entering cardiac rehabilitation. Within those with elevated CO levels (≥4 ppm), females had CO levels almost twice that of males (20.4 vs. 11.6), suggesting higher amounts of smoking.

20.
Health Secur ; 20(4): 331-338, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35925788

RESUMO

Underreporting of infectious diseases is a pervasive challenge in public health that has emerged as a central issue in characterizing the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic. Infectious diseases are underreported for a range of reasons, including mild or asymptomatic infections, weak public health infrastructure, and government censorship. In this study, we investigated factors associated with cross-country and cross-pathogen variation in reporting. We performed a literature search to collect estimates of empirical reporting rates, calculated as the number of cases reported divided by the estimated number of true cases. This literature search yielded a dataset of reporting rates for 32 pathogens, representing 52 countries. We combined epidemiological and social science theory to identify factors specific to pathogens, country health systems, and politics that could influence empirical reporting rates. We performed generalized linear regression to test the relationship between the pathogen- and country-specific factors that we hypothesized could influence reporting rates, and the reporting rate estimates that we collected in our literature search. Pathogen- and country-specific factors were predictive of reporting rates. Deadlier pathogens and sexually transmitted diseases were more likely to be reported. Country epidemic preparedness was positively associated with reporting completeness, while countries with high levels of media bias in favor of incumbent governments were less likely to report infectious disease cases. Underreporting is a complex phenomenon that is driven by factors specific to pathogens, country health systems, and politics. In this study, we identified specific and measurable components of these broader factors that influence pathogen- and country-specific reporting rates and used model selection techniques to build a model that can guide efforts to diagnose, characterize, and reduce underreporting. Furthermore, this model can characterize uncertainty and correct for bias in reported infectious disease statistics, particularly when outbreak-specific empirical estimates of underreporting are unavailable. More precise estimates can inform control policies and improve the accuracy of infectious disease models.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Política , Saúde Pública
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